Hand odds / AT vs 44
AT vs 44: odds and equity
In short
44 wins 52.7% of the time against ATo all in before the flop, ATo wins 46.8%, and they split the pot 0.5% of the time. 44 is a coin flip. With ATs vs 44 the split is 49.6% to 50.4% in equity.
ATo
47.0%
44
53.0%
Equity: win% plus half of the 0.5% split pots. 44 is a coin flip.
Every suit combination
| Matchup | Hand 1 wins | Hand 2 wins | Split | Hand 1 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATs vs 44 | 49.3% | 50.2% | 0.5% | 49.6% |
| ATo vs 44 | 46.8% | 52.7% | 0.5% | 47.0% |
What the flop does to it
When no A or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 44 has 63.7% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 18.3%.
ATo has two overcards, so six cards in the deck pair it. That's why it's a race rather than a big favourite: plenty of flops give ATo a pair.
When this all-in happens in push/fold
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves ATo always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
| 6-max spot | Shove ATo | Call with 44 | Shove 44 | Call with ATo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutoff shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Button shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Small Blind shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Cutoff shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Button shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Small Blind shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.
Common questions
- Who is the favourite, AT or 44?
- 44. All in preflop it has 53.0% equity against ATo: 52.7% wins plus half of the 0.5% split pots. That's a coin flip.
- Do suits change the odds?
- A little. ATs vs 44 is 49.6% to 50.4%; ATo vs 44 is 47.0% to 53.0%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
- What happens on the flop?
- When no A or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 44 has 63.7% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 18.3%.
- When does AT vs 44 happen in push/fold?
- At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves ATo always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
- How were these odds worked out?
- By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for ATo vs 44, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.