Hand odds / AT vs 22

AT vs 22: odds and equity

In short

22 wins 51.3% of the time against ATo all in before the flop, ATo wins 48.1%, and they split the pot 0.6% of the time. 22 is a coin flip. With ATs vs 22 the split is 50.9% to 49.1% in equity.

ATo

48.4%

vs

22

51.6%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.6% split pots. 22 is a coin flip.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
ATs vs 2250.5%48.8%0.6%50.9%
ATo vs 2248.1%51.3%0.6%48.4%

What the flop does to it

When no A or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 22 has 62.0% equity going to the turn. When one does, 22 drops to 18.0%.

ATo has two overcards, so six cards in the deck pair it. That's why it's a race rather than a big favourite: plenty of flops give ATo a pair.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves ATo always and the Big Blind calls with 22 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AT or 22?
22. All in preflop it has 51.6% equity against ATo: 51.3% wins plus half of the 0.6% split pots. That's a coin flip.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. ATs vs 22 is 50.9% to 49.1%; ATo vs 22 is 48.4% to 51.6%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no A or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 22 has 62.0% equity going to the turn. When one does, 22 drops to 18.0%.
When does AT vs 22 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves ATo always and the Big Blind calls with 22 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for ATo vs 22, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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