Hand odds / JT vs 22

JT vs 22: odds and equity

In short

JTo wins 50.9% of the time against 22 all in before the flop, 22 wins 47.6%, and they split the pot 1.4% of the time. JTo is a coin flip. With JTs vs 22 the split is 53.8% to 46.2% in equity.

JTo

51.6%

vs

22

48.4%

Equity: win% plus half of the 1.4% split pots. JTo is a coin flip.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
JTs vs 2253.1%45.4%1.4%53.8%
JTo vs 2250.9%47.6%1.4%51.6%

What the flop does to it

When no 2 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), JTo has 55.6% equity going to the turn. When one does, JTo drops to 7.0%.

22 has two overcards, so six cards in the deck pair it. That's why it's a race rather than a big favourite: plenty of flops give 22 a pair.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves JTo always and the Big Blind calls with 22 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, JT or 22?
JTo. All in preflop it has 51.6% equity against 22: 50.9% wins plus half of the 1.4% split pots. That's a coin flip.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. JTs vs 22 is 53.8% to 46.2%; JTo vs 22 is 51.6% to 48.4%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no 2 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), JTo has 55.6% equity going to the turn. When one does, JTo drops to 7.0%.
When does JT vs 22 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves JTo always and the Big Blind calls with 22 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for JTo vs 22, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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