Hand odds / AK vs 44

AK vs 44: odds and equity

In short

44 wins 53.8% of the time against AKo all in before the flop, AKo wins 45.7%, and they split the pot 0.5% of the time. 44 is a small favourite. With AKs vs 44 the split is 48.6% to 51.4% in equity.

AKo

46.0%

vs

44

54.0%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.5% split pots. 44 is a small favourite.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AKs vs 4448.3%51.2%0.5%48.6%
AKo vs 4445.7%53.8%0.5%46.0%

What the flop does to it

When no A or K comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 44 has 65.1% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 18.2%.

AKo has two overcards, so six cards in the deck pair it. That's why it's a race rather than a big favourite: plenty of flops give AKo a pair.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AKo always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AK or 44?
44. All in preflop it has 54.0% equity against AKo: 53.8% wins plus half of the 0.5% split pots. That's a small favourite.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AKs vs 44 is 48.6% to 51.4%; AKo vs 44 is 46.0% to 54.0%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no A or K comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 44 has 65.1% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 18.2%.
When does AK vs 44 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AKo always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for AKo vs 44, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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