Hand odds / AJ vs 44

AJ vs 44: odds and equity

In short

44 wins 53.1% of the time against AJo all in before the flop, AJo wins 46.4%, and they split the pot 0.5% of the time. 44 is a small favourite. With AJs vs 44 the split is 49.2% to 50.8% in equity.

AJo

46.7%

vs

44

53.3%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.5% split pots. 44 is a small favourite.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AJs vs 4449.0%50.5%0.5%49.2%
AJo vs 4446.4%53.1%0.5%46.7%

What the flop does to it

When no A or J comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 44 has 64.2% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 18.3%.

AJo has two overcards, so six cards in the deck pair it. That's why it's a race rather than a big favourite: plenty of flops give AJo a pair.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AJo always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AJ or 44?
44. All in preflop it has 53.3% equity against AJo: 53.1% wins plus half of the 0.5% split pots. That's a small favourite.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AJs vs 44 is 49.2% to 50.8%; AJo vs 44 is 46.7% to 53.3%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no A or J comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 44 has 64.2% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 18.3%.
When does AJ vs 44 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AJo always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for AJo vs 44, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

Related matchups

All hand matchups · Poker odds calculator