Hand odds / AQ vs AT

AQ vs AT: odds and equity

In short

AQo wins 70.7% of the time against ATo all in before the flop, ATo wins 23.5%, and they split the pot 5.8% of the time. AQo is a clear favourite, about 3 to 1. With AQo vs ATs the split is 69.4% to 30.6% in equity.

AQo

73.6%

vs

ATo

26.4%

Equity: win% plus half of the 5.8% split pots. AQo is a clear favourite, about 3 to 1.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AQs vs ATs67.9%26.8%5.3%70.5%
AQs vs ATo71.9%22.6%5.5%74.7%
AQo vs ATs66.6%27.9%5.5%69.4%
AQo vs ATo70.7%23.5%5.8%73.6%

What the flop does to it

When no 10 comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), AQo has 79.7% equity going to the turn. When one does, AQo drops to 29.9%.

ATo shares a card with AQo, so pairing that card doesn't help: it needs its other card to come. Domination like this is why calling with weaker hands of the same kind costs so much.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with ATo always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AQ or AT?
AQo. All in preflop it has 73.6% equity against ATo: 70.7% wins plus half of the 5.8% split pots. That's a clear favourite, about 3 to 1.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AQs vs ATs is 70.5% to 29.5%; AQs vs ATo is 74.7% to 25.3%; AQo vs ATs is 69.4% to 30.6%; AQo vs ATo is 73.6% to 26.4%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no 10 comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), AQo has 79.7% equity going to the turn. When one does, AQo drops to 29.9%.
When does AQ vs AT happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with ATo always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 108 card combinations for AQo vs ATo, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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