Hand odds / 55 vs 44

55 vs 44: odds and equity

In short

55 wins 80.1% of the time against 44 all in before the flop, 44 wins 17.2%, and they split the pot 2.7% of the time. That makes 55 a big favourite, about 4 to 1.

55

81.5%

vs

44

18.5%

Equity: win% plus half of the 2.7% split pots. 55 is a big favourite, about 4 to 1.

What the flop does to it

When no 4 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), 55 has 86.8% equity going to the turn. When one does, 55 drops to 21.7%.

44 is drawing to two cards, its own rank, so this is mostly about whether a set comes. Straights and flushes make up most of the rest of 44's wins.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves 55 always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, 55 or 44?
55. All in preflop it has 81.5% equity against 44: 80.1% wins plus half of the 2.7% split pots. That's a big favourite, about 4 to 1.
What happens on the flop?
When no 4 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), 55 has 86.8% equity going to the turn. When one does, 55 drops to 21.7%.
When does 55 vs 44 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves 55 always and the Big Blind calls with 44 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 36 card combinations for 55 vs 44, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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