Hand odds / AT vs A9

AT vs A9: odds and equity

In short

ATo wins 66.7% of the time against A9o all in before the flop, A9o wins 22.6%, and they split the pot 10.6% of the time. ATo is a clear favourite, about 3 to 1. With ATo vs A9s the split is 67.9% to 32.1% in equity.

ATo

72.0%

vs

A9o

28.0%

Equity: win% plus half of the 10.6% split pots. ATo is a clear favourite, about 3 to 1.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
ATs vs A9s64.3%26.0%9.6%69.2%
ATs vs A9o68.2%21.7%10.1%73.2%
ATo vs A9s62.8%27.1%10.1%67.9%
ATo vs A9o66.7%22.6%10.6%72.0%

What the flop does to it

When no 9 comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), ATo has 78.2% equity going to the turn. When one does, ATo drops to 27.6%.

A9o shares a card with ATo, so pairing that card doesn't help: it needs its other card to come. Domination like this is why calling with weaker hands of the same kind costs so much.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves ATo always and the Big Blind calls with A9o always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AT or A9?
ATo. All in preflop it has 72.0% equity against A9o: 66.7% wins plus half of the 10.6% split pots. That's a clear favourite, about 3 to 1.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. ATs vs A9s is 69.2% to 30.8%; ATs vs A9o is 73.2% to 26.8%; ATo vs A9s is 67.9% to 32.1%; ATo vs A9o is 72.0% to 28.0%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no 9 comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), ATo has 78.2% equity going to the turn. When one does, ATo drops to 27.6%.
When does AT vs A9 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves ATo always and the Big Blind calls with A9o always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 108 card combinations for ATo vs A9o, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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