Hand odds / AQ vs TT

AQ vs TT: odds and equity

In short

TT wins 56.8% of the time against AQo all in before the flop, AQo wins 42.9%, and they split the pot 0.4% of the time. TT is a small favourite. With AQs vs TT the split is 45.9% to 54.1% in equity.

AQo

43.1%

vs

TT

56.9%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.4% split pots. TT is a small favourite.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AQs vs TT45.7%53.9%0.4%45.9%
AQo vs TT42.9%56.8%0.4%43.1%

What the flop does to it

When no A or Q comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), TT has 68.7% equity going to the turn. When one does, TT drops to 18.9%.

AQo has two overcards, so six cards in the deck pair it. That's why it's a race rather than a big favourite: plenty of flops give AQo a pair.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with TT always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AQ or TT?
TT. All in preflop it has 56.9% equity against AQo: 56.8% wins plus half of the 0.4% split pots. That's a small favourite.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AQs vs TT is 45.9% to 54.1%; AQo vs TT is 43.1% to 56.9%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no A or Q comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), TT has 68.7% equity going to the turn. When one does, TT drops to 18.9%.
When does AQ vs TT happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with TT always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for AQo vs TT, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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