Hand odds / AQ vs 99
AQ vs 99: odds and equity
In short
99 wins 55.2% of the time against AQo all in before the flop, AQo wins 44.4%, and they split the pot 0.4% of the time. 99 is a small favourite. With AQs vs 99 the split is 47.3% to 52.7% in equity.
AQo
44.6%
99
55.4%
Equity: win% plus half of the 0.4% split pots. 99 is a small favourite.
Every suit combination
| Matchup | Hand 1 wins | Hand 2 wins | Split | Hand 1 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs vs 99 | 47.1% | 52.5% | 0.4% | 47.3% |
| AQo vs 99 | 44.4% | 55.2% | 0.4% | 44.6% |
What the flop does to it
When no A or Q comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 99 has 66.9% equity going to the turn. When one does, 99 drops to 18.2%.
AQo has two overcards, so six cards in the deck pair it. That's why it's a race rather than a big favourite: plenty of flops give AQo a pair.
When this all-in happens in push/fold
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with 99 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
| 6-max spot | Shove AQo | Call with 99 | Shove 99 | Call with AQo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutoff shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Button shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Small Blind shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Cutoff shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Button shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Small Blind shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.
Common questions
- Who is the favourite, AQ or 99?
- 99. All in preflop it has 55.4% equity against AQo: 55.2% wins plus half of the 0.4% split pots. That's a small favourite.
- Do suits change the odds?
- A little. AQs vs 99 is 47.3% to 52.7%; AQo vs 99 is 44.6% to 55.4%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
- What happens on the flop?
- When no A or Q comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), 99 has 66.9% equity going to the turn. When one does, 99 drops to 18.2%.
- When does AQ vs 99 happen in push/fold?
- At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with 99 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
- How were these odds worked out?
- By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for AQo vs 99, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.