Hand odds / AQ vs JT

AQ vs JT: odds and equity

In short

AQo wins 63.2% of the time against JTo all in before the flop, JTo wins 36.4%, and they split the pot 0.4% of the time. AQo is a clear favourite, about 2 to 1. With AQo vs JTs the split is 59.7% to 40.3% in equity.

AQo

63.4%

vs

JTo

36.6%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.4% split pots. AQo is a clear favourite, about 2 to 1.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AQs vs JTs62.0%37.5%0.5%62.2%
AQs vs JTo64.8%34.7%0.5%65.0%
AQo vs JTs59.5%40.0%0.5%59.7%
AQo vs JTo63.2%36.4%0.4%63.4%

What the flop does to it

When no J or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), AQo has 71.6% equity going to the turn. When one does, AQo drops to 36.8%.

AQo has two higher cards, but JTo has more ways to make straights. Still, AQo wins whenever nobody pairs.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with JTo 91% of the time, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AQ or JT?
AQo. All in preflop it has 63.4% equity against JTo: 63.2% wins plus half of the 0.4% split pots. That's a clear favourite, about 2 to 1.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AQs vs JTs is 62.2% to 37.8%; AQs vs JTo is 65.0% to 35.0%; AQo vs JTs is 59.7% to 40.3%; AQo vs JTo is 63.4% to 36.6%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no J or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), AQo has 71.6% equity going to the turn. When one does, AQo drops to 36.8%.
When does AQ vs JT happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AQo always and the Big Blind calls with JTo 91% of the time, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 144 card combinations for AQo vs JTo, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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