Hand odds / AA vs JT

AA vs JT: odds and equity

In short

AA wins 82.6% of the time against JTo all in before the flop, JTo wins 17.1%, and they split the pot 0.4% of the time. AA is a big favourite, about 5 to 1. With AA vs JTs the split is 78.8% to 21.2% in equity.

AA

82.7%

vs

JTo

17.3%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.4% split pots. AA is a big favourite, about 5 to 1.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AA vs JTs78.7%21.0%0.4%78.8%
AA vs JTo82.6%17.1%0.4%82.7%

What the flop does to it

When no J or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), AA has 86.4% equity going to the turn. When one does, AA drops to 70.8%.

JTo has two undercards and needs to pair one of them, then improve again, or hit a straight or flush. AA holds most of the time.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AA always and the Big Blind calls with JTo 91% of the time, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AA or JT?
AA. All in preflop it has 82.7% equity against JTo: 82.6% wins plus half of the 0.4% split pots. That's a big favourite, about 5 to 1.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AA vs JTs is 78.8% to 21.2%; AA vs JTo is 82.7% to 17.3%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no J or 10 comes on the flop (76.3% of flops), AA has 86.4% equity going to the turn. When one does, AA drops to 70.8%.
When does AA vs JT happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AA always and the Big Blind calls with JTo 91% of the time, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 72 card combinations for AA vs JTo, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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