Hand odds / AA vs AQ

AA vs AQ: odds and equity

In short

AA wins 92.1% of the time against AQo all in before the flop, AQo wins 6.6%, and they split the pot 1.3% of the time. AA is a big favourite, more than 12 to 1. With AA vs AQs the split is 87.5% to 12.5% in equity.

AA

92.7%

vs

AQo

7.3%

Equity: win% plus half of the 1.3% split pots. AA is a big favourite, more than 12 to 1.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AA vs AQs86.8%11.9%1.2%87.5%
AA vs AQo92.1%6.6%1.3%92.7%

What the flop does to it

When no Q comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), AA has 93.9% equity going to the turn. When one does, AA drops to 84.3%.

AA holds one of AQo's cards, so AQo has fewer ways to pair. That's what makes this one so lopsided.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AA always and the Big Blind calls with AQo always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AA or AQ?
AA. All in preflop it has 92.7% equity against AQo: 92.1% wins plus half of the 1.3% split pots. That's a big favourite, more than 12 to 1.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AA vs AQs is 87.5% to 12.5%; AA vs AQo is 92.7% to 7.3%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no Q comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), AA has 93.9% equity going to the turn. When one does, AA drops to 84.3%.
When does AA vs AQ happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AA always and the Big Blind calls with AQo always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 36 card combinations for AA vs AQo, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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