Hand odds / AA vs 22

AA vs 22: odds and equity

In short

AA wins 81.9% of the time against 22 all in before the flop, 22 wins 17.5%, and they split the pot 0.5% of the time. That makes AA a big favourite, about 5 to 1.

AA

82.2%

vs

22

17.8%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.5% split pots. AA is a big favourite, about 5 to 1.

What the flop does to it

When no 2 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), AA has 87.9% equity going to the turn. When one does, AA drops to 19.2%.

22 is drawing to two cards, its own rank, so this is mostly about whether a set comes. Straights and flushes make up most of the rest of 22's wins.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AA always and the Big Blind calls with 22 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AA or 22?
AA. All in preflop it has 82.2% equity against 22: 81.9% wins plus half of the 0.5% split pots. That's a big favourite, about 5 to 1.
What happens on the flop?
When no 2 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), AA has 87.9% equity going to the turn. When one does, AA drops to 19.2%.
When does AA vs 22 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AA always and the Big Blind calls with 22 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 36 card combinations for AA vs 22, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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