Hand odds / 44 vs 33
44 vs 33: odds and equity
In short
44 wins 79.1% of the time against 33 all in before the flop, 33 wins 17.1%, and they split the pot 3.7% of the time. That makes 44 a big favourite, about 4 to 1.
44
81.0%
33
19.0%
Equity: win% plus half of the 3.7% split pots. 44 is a big favourite, about 4 to 1.
What the flop does to it
When no 3 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), 44 has 86.4% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 20.9%.
33 is drawing to two cards, its own rank, so this is mostly about whether a set comes. Straights and flushes make up most of the rest of 33's wins.
When this all-in happens in push/fold
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves 44 always and the Big Blind calls with 33 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
| 6-max spot | Shove 44 | Call with 33 | Shove 33 | Call with 44 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutoff shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Button shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Small Blind shoves, Big Blind calls, 10BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Cutoff shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Button shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Small Blind shoves, Big Blind calls, 15BB | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.
Common questions
- Who is the favourite, 44 or 33?
- 44. All in preflop it has 81.0% equity against 33: 79.1% wins plus half of the 3.7% split pots. That's a big favourite, about 4 to 1.
- What happens on the flop?
- When no 3 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), 44 has 86.4% equity going to the turn. When one does, 44 drops to 20.9%.
- When does 44 vs 33 happen in push/fold?
- At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves 44 always and the Big Blind calls with 33 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
- How were these odds worked out?
- By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 36 card combinations for 44 vs 33, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.