Push Fold Trainer

Tools / Fold Equity Calculator

Fold Equity Calculator for Poker

Find how often Villain must fold for your shove to break even. Use any consistent chip unit, such as big blinds, and enter your showdown equity only when called.

The wager

Optional estimate

%Leave blank to see only the break-even threshold.

Result

Profitable with the estimated folds

Chip-EV only; this does not adjust for ICM or risk premium.

EV if called
-1.4 chips
Break-even folds
35.9%
Shove EV
+0.94 chips

35.9% required = -(-1.4) / (2.5 - (-1.4))

Fold equity and showdown equity are different

Fold equity is the value created when Villain gives up the pot. Showdown equity is Hero's share of the called pot. A shove can have poor showdown equity and still be profitable if the opponent folds often enough; it can also be profitable when called and need no folds at all.

Worked 10bb example

With 2.5bb in the pot, 10bb risked, a 9bb additional call, and 40% equity when called, the called pot is 21.5bb and called EV is 0.40 x 21.5 - 10 = -1.4bb. The break-even fold rate is 1.4 / (2.5 - (-1.4)) = 35.9%. At a 60% estimated fold rate, shove EV is 0.60 x 2.5 + 0.40 x (-1.4) = +0.94bb.

The result is a decision aid for the assumptions you provide, not a solver-approved shove. For a solved short-stack range, use the Push/Fold Calculator; for payout pressure, use the ICM Calculator.

Common questions

What does the pot input include?
Enter the pot Hero wins when Villain folds, before Hero's new shove chips enter it. Do not add Hero's risk or Villain's additional call to this field; the calculator adds those to the called pot itself.
How do ties enter the equity input?
Enter Hero's share of the final pot when called, including ties. For example, a hand that wins half the time and ties 10% of the time has 55% equity because a tie contributes half of that 10%.
Why does this result differ under ICM?
This calculator values chips linearly, so it is chip-EV only. ICM makes losing tournament chips worth more than gaining the same number near a bubble or pay jump; use the ICM and bubble tools for payout-aware decisions.

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