Ranges / ICM preview / Small Blind
Small Blind on the bubble - chip-EV vs. ICM
Chip-EV treats every chip the same. On the bubble, the chips that keep you alive are worth more than the ones that just add to a stack that's already covering the table - so the correct range isn't the same range.
Small Blind's open-shove range at 11bb effective goes from 64% of hands under chip-EV to 33% once the money bubble is real -- 31 percentage points tighter. Every stack at the table matters here, not just hero's: the covering stacks behind small blind are what makes folding correctly worth more than the chips themselves.
Chip-EV baseline - 64% shove
Exact mixed frequencies (25)
J2s 97% shove / 3% fold,T4s 97% shove / 3% fold,T3s 87% shove / 13% fold,T2s 6% shove / 94% fold,94s 8% shove / 92% fold,93s 4% shove / 96% fold,84s 95% shove / 5% fold,J7o 94% shove / 6% fold,T7o 90% shove / 10% fold,97o 98% shove / 2% fold,74s 99% shove / 1% fold,73s 2% shove / 98% fold,J6o 1% shove / 99% fold,96o 3% shove / 97% fold,86o 22% shove / 78% fold,76o 96% shove / 4% fold,63s 67% shove / 33% fold,75o 2% shove / 98% fold,65o 16% shove / 84% fold,53s 98% shove / 2% fold,52s 2% shove / 98% fold,Q4o 94% shove / 6% fold,43s 93% shove / 7% fold,Q3o 9% shove / 91% fold,Q2o 2% shove / 98% fold
Bubble ICM - 33% shove
Exact mixed frequencies (64)
K8s 95% shove / 5% fold,K7s 93% shove / 7% fold,K6s 83% shove / 17% fold,K5s 74% shove / 26% fold,K4s 17% shove / 83% fold,K3s 5% shove / 95% fold,K2s 7% shove / 93% fold,Q9s 99% shove / 1% fold,Q8s 93% shove / 7% fold,Q7s 39% shove / 61% fold,Q6s 22% shove / 78% fold,Q5s 7% shove / 93% fold,Q4s 5% shove / 95% fold,Q3s 2% shove / 98% fold,Q2s 1% shove / 99% fold,QJo 97% shove / 3% fold,J9s 98% shove / 2% fold,J8s 97% shove / 3% fold,J7s 36% shove / 64% fold,J6s 4% shove / 96% fold,J5s 4% shove / 96% fold,J4s 3% shove / 97% fold,J3s 2% shove / 98% fold,KTo 98% shove / 2% fold,QTo 95% shove / 5% fold,JTo 96% shove / 4% fold,T9s 99% shove / 1% fold,T8s 95% shove / 5% fold,T7s 35% shove / 65% fold,T6s 5% shove / 95% fold,T5s 2% shove / 98% fold,T4s 1% shove / 99% fold,K9o 20% shove / 80% fold,Q9o 9% shove / 91% fold,J9o 25% shove / 75% fold,T9o 28% shove / 72% fold,98s 97% shove / 3% fold,97s 81% shove / 19% fold,96s 10% shove / 90% fold,95s 2% shove / 98% fold,94s 1% shove / 99% fold,K8o 4% shove / 96% fold,Q8o 3% shove / 97% fold,J8o 6% shove / 94% fold,T8o 4% shove / 96% fold,98o 5% shove / 95% fold,87s 87% shove / 13% fold,86s 20% shove / 80% fold,85s 4% shove / 96% fold,84s 2% shove / 98% fold,K7o 3% shove / 97% fold,J7o 1% shove / 99% fold,97o 1% shove / 99% fold,87o 3% shove / 97% fold,76s 68% shove / 32% fold,75s 8% shove / 92% fold,74s 1% shove / 99% fold,K6o 2% shove / 98% fold,76o 1% shove / 99% fold,65s 8% shove / 92% fold,64s 2% shove / 98% fold,K5o 3% shove / 97% fold,54s 3% shove / 97% fold,A2o 99% shove / 1% fold
This is one bubble shape out of every position, stack depth, and payout structure Push Fold Trainer solves. Full ICM packs (50%/20% field, bubble, final table) unlock with Pro.
SolutionsPracticeLearn the theory behind ICM
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- Short Stack Poker Strategyguide
- ICMglossary
- The Bubbleglossary
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- Risk Premiumglossary