Ranges / ICM preview / Button
Button on the bubble - chip-EV vs. ICM
Chip-EV treats every chip the same. On the bubble, the chips that keep you alive are worth more than the ones that just add to a stack that's already covering the table - so the correct range isn't the same range.
Button's open-shove range at 10bb effective goes from 39% of hands under chip-EV to 52% once the money bubble is real -- 13 percentage points wider. Every stack at the table matters here, not just hero's: the covering stacks behind button are what makes folding correctly worth more than the chips themselves.
Chip-EV baseline - 39% shove
Exact mixed frequencies (29)
K3s 97% shove / 3% fold,K2s 94% shove / 6% fold,Q7s 96% shove / 4% fold,Q6s 96% shove / 4% fold,Q5s 51% shove / 49% fold,Q4s 8% shove / 92% fold,Q3s 3% shove / 97% fold,J7s 96% shove / 4% fold,J6s 6% shove / 94% fold,J5s 2% shove / 98% fold,T7s 98% shove / 2% fold,T6s 10% shove / 90% fold,Q9o 67% shove / 33% fold,J9o 42% shove / 58% fold,T9o 89% shove / 11% fold,96s 88% shove / 12% fold,95s 1% shove / 99% fold,K8o 89% shove / 11% fold,T8o 2% shove / 98% fold,98o 3% shove / 97% fold,86s 98% shove / 2% fold,85s 8% shove / 92% fold,K7o 10% shove / 90% fold,75s 72% shove / 28% fold,K6o 5% shove / 95% fold,65s 96% shove / 4% fold,64s 3% shove / 97% fold,54s 69% shove / 31% fold,53s 1% shove / 99% fold
Bubble ICM - 52% shove
Exact mixed frequencies (71)
Q6s 99% shove / 1% fold,Q5s 98% shove / 2% fold,Q4s 97% shove / 3% fold,Q3s 96% shove / 4% fold,Q2s 94% shove / 6% fold,J6s 95% shove / 5% fold,J5s 97% shove / 3% fold,J4s 93% shove / 7% fold,J3s 84% shove / 16% fold,J2s 67% shove / 33% fold,T6s 96% shove / 4% fold,T5s 76% shove / 24% fold,T4s 61% shove / 39% fold,T3s 24% shove / 76% fold,T2s 7% shove / 93% fold,Q9o 99% shove / 1% fold,J9o 99% shove / 1% fold,96s 98% shove / 2% fold,95s 88% shove / 12% fold,94s 6% shove / 94% fold,93s 7% shove / 93% fold,92s 3% shove / 97% fold,K8o 95% shove / 5% fold,Q8o 87% shove / 13% fold,J8o 89% shove / 11% fold,T8o 93% shove / 7% fold,98o 93% shove / 7% fold,86s 99% shove / 1% fold,85s 94% shove / 6% fold,84s 17% shove / 83% fold,83s 2% shove / 98% fold,82s 2% shove / 98% fold,K7o 93% shove / 7% fold,Q7o 7% shove / 93% fold,J7o 9% shove / 91% fold,T7o 9% shove / 91% fold,97o 16% shove / 84% fold,87o 40% shove / 60% fold,75s 96% shove / 4% fold,74s 16% shove / 84% fold,73s 2% shove / 98% fold,72s 1% shove / 99% fold,K6o 88% shove / 12% fold,Q6o 8% shove / 92% fold,J6o 3% shove / 97% fold,T6o 2% shove / 98% fold,96o 2% shove / 98% fold,86o 7% shove / 93% fold,76o 10% shove / 90% fold,65s 98% shove / 2% fold,64s 92% shove / 8% fold,63s 10% shove / 90% fold,62s 2% shove / 98% fold,K5o 85% shove / 15% fold,Q5o 5% shove / 95% fold,J5o 3% shove / 97% fold,85o 1% shove / 99% fold,75o 1% shove / 99% fold,65o 7% shove / 93% fold,54s 98% shove / 2% fold,53s 83% shove / 17% fold,52s 6% shove / 94% fold,K4o 18% shove / 82% fold,Q4o 2% shove / 98% fold,54o 2% shove / 98% fold,43s 13% shove / 87% fold,42s 3% shove / 97% fold,K3o 11% shove / 89% fold,Q3o 1% shove / 99% fold,32s 1% shove / 99% fold,K2o 6% shove / 94% fold
This is one bubble shape out of every position, stack depth, and payout structure Push Fold Trainer solves. Full ICM packs (50%/20% field, bubble, final table) unlock with Pro.
SolutionsPracticeLearn the theory behind ICM
- What Is ICM? A Guide to the Independent Chip Modelguide
- Short Stack Poker Strategyguide
- ICMglossary
- The Bubbleglossary
- Bubble Factorglossary
- Risk Premiumglossary