Hand odds / JJ vs 99

JJ vs 99: odds and equity

In short

JJ wins 81.4% of the time against 99 all in before the flop, 99 wins 18.2%, and they split the pot 0.4% of the time. That makes JJ a big favourite, about 4 to 1.

JJ

81.6%

vs

99

18.4%

Equity: win% plus half of the 0.4% split pots. JJ is a big favourite, about 4 to 1.

What the flop does to it

When no 9 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), JJ has 87.1% equity going to the turn. When one does, JJ drops to 20.4%.

99 is drawing to two cards, its own rank, so this is mostly about whether a set comes. Straights and flushes make up most of the rest of 99's wins.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves JJ always and the Big Blind calls with 99 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, JJ or 99?
JJ. All in preflop it has 81.6% equity against 99: 81.4% wins plus half of the 0.4% split pots. That's a big favourite, about 4 to 1.
What happens on the flop?
When no 9 comes on the flop (91.8% of flops), JJ has 87.1% equity going to the turn. When one does, JJ drops to 20.4%.
When does JJ vs 99 happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves JJ always and the Big Blind calls with 99 always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 36 card combinations for JJ vs 99, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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