Hand odds / AK vs KQ

AK vs KQ: odds and equity

In short

AKo wins 74.2% of the time against KQo all in before the flop, KQo wins 24.6%, and they split the pot 1.2% of the time. AKo is a clear favourite, about 3 to 1. With AKo vs KQs the split is 70.4% to 29.6% in equity.

AKo

74.8%

vs

KQo

25.2%

Equity: win% plus half of the 1.2% split pots. AKo is a clear favourite, about 3 to 1.

Every suit combination

MatchupHand 1 winsHand 2 winsSplitHand 1 equity
AKs vs KQs70.8%28.0%1.2%71.4%
AKs vs KQo75.0%23.8%1.2%75.6%
AKo vs KQs69.8%29.0%1.2%70.4%
AKo vs KQo74.2%24.6%1.2%74.8%

What the flop does to it

When no Q comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), AKo has 81.2% equity going to the turn. When one does, AKo drops to 28.7%.

KQo shares a card with AKo, so pairing that card doesn't help: it needs its other card to come. Domination like this is why calling with weaker hands of the same kind costs so much.

When this all-in happens in push/fold

At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AKo always and the Big Blind calls with KQo always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.

How often each hand shoves or calls in our solved 6-max chip-EV charts. A row with both columns high is a spot where this exact all-in is correct for both players. See every chart.

Common questions

Who is the favourite, AK or KQ?
AKo. All in preflop it has 74.8% equity against KQo: 74.2% wins plus half of the 1.2% split pots. That's a clear favourite, about 3 to 1.
Do suits change the odds?
A little. AKs vs KQs is 71.4% to 28.6%; AKs vs KQo is 75.6% to 24.4%; AKo vs KQs is 70.4% to 29.6%; AKo vs KQo is 74.8% to 25.2%. Suited hands make more flushes, which is worth a few percent.
What happens on the flop?
When no Q comes on the flop (87.8% of flops), AKo has 81.2% equity going to the turn. When one does, AKo drops to 28.7%.
When does AK vs KQ happen in push/fold?
At 10BB in 6-max, the Button shoves AKo always and the Big Blind calls with KQo always, so this exact all-in comes straight off the charts.
How were these odds worked out?
By counting every possible five-card board for every combination of suits: 108 card combinations for AKo vs KQo, 1,712,304 boards each. The numbers are exact, not simulated.

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